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#  Election Prediction: No Real Change Ahead

November 03 2014

Written by Paul Hatfield.

<a class="a2a_button_facebook"></a><a class="a2a_button_twitter"></a><a class="a2a_button_email"></a><a class="a2a_button_print"></a>[](https://www.addtoany.com/share)

![](https://mail.citywatchla.com/images/stories/Nov-2014/89b.png)PERSPECTIVE-I write almost exclusively about state and local politics, along with a spattering of other subjects.

I have rarely opined on national politics. That’s not going to change other than to say the race for control of the US Senate will not produce a clear winner.

Most experts expect a margin of plus or minus one or two for either party.

Is that enough to formulate significant legislation?

Absolutely not, especially when you can count on a couple of swing votes.

On election night, I will be far more interested in the outcome of certain races, particularly underdog [Ashley Swearengin’s bid for State Controller](http://phinvv.wordpress.com/2014/10/22/my-favorite-state-race-is-the-least-known/) and [the heated battle between Sheila Kuehl and Bobby Shriver](http://phinvv.wordpress.com/2014/10/25/did-she-really-mean-what-she-said/).

I agree with my CityWatch colleague Ken Alpern: [Yes on props 1 and 2, No on 45, 46 and 47.](http://www.citywatchla.com/in-case-you-missed-it-hidden/7761-for-those-who-still-care-about-ca-yes-on-props-1-and-2-no-on-props-45-46-and-47)

It so happens I have a class on Tuesday night, so my attention will be diverted to earning more credits towards my CPA license renewal. The subject is pension plans – as most of you know, my favorite topic.

***(Paul Hatfield is a CPA*** ***and former NC Valley Village board member and treasurer******. He blogs at Village to Village and contributes to CityWatch. He can be reached at: <phinnoho@aol.com>)***

**–cw**

**CityWatch**

**Vol 12 Issue 89**

**Pub: Nov 4, 2014**

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